COVID-19 surveillance data in Ontario, beween January 22 and February 22, 2020

Abstract

As of January 22, 2020, "disease caused by a novel coronavirus" became a reportable disease of public health significance in Ontario. Public health units were provided with guidance on the entry of patients tested for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), the virus causing 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19), into the provincial public health information system. Between January 22 and February 22, 2020, there were 359 individuals who had a negative test result recorded and three confirmed cases of COVID-19. Of those who tested negative, 51% were female and 71% were under 50 years of age. The most common symptoms reported were cough (55%), fever (37%) and sore throat (35%). The majority were tested within three days of symptom onset, but over one-quarter tested more than seven days after symptom onset. Over the first month of reportability, reported travel history shifted from China to an increasing proportion with travel outside of China.

Introduction

In December 2019, the clinical syndrome caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) virus, (2019 coronavirus disease, COVID-19), was identified following an outbreak of pneumonia-like illness in Wuhan, China^{Footnote 1}. Rapid identification of the virus causing the outbreak and development of diagnostic testing methods enabled countries around the world to test and identify cases within their borders^{Footnote 2}. At the onset of the epidemic in China, Ontario alerted health care providers to the outbreak and recommended testing those with a travel history to Wuhan, China. As of January 22, 2020, “disease caused by a novel coronavirus” became reportable as a disease of public health significance in Ontario, and included case definitions for persons under investigation (PUI) and for probable, presumptive confirmed and confirmed cases^{Footnote 3Footnote 4}. In Ontario, local public health units are responsible for receiving notification of PUIs undergoing testing for COVID-19, and for providing guidance on the public health management of individuals undergoing testing^{Footnote 5}. On January 28, 2020, Public Health Ontario issued guidance to health units on the use of the integrated public health information system (iPHIS) for capturing information on PUIs as well as cases. Subsequently, there has been global spread of COVID-19 and multiple introductions into Ontario and other parts of Canada^{Footnote 6}, with the first case in Ontario reported on January 25.

Our goal is to describe public health surveillance data on individuals who were reported to public health, and who subsequently tested negative for COVID-19, in the first month after reportability was initiated in Ontario (January 22 to February 22, 2020).

Situation: January–February, 2020

Due to the rapidly evolving global epidemiology and understanding of COVID-19, there were several updates to the PUI case definition (Table 1), with expansion of affected areas to include all of mainland China and relaxation of symptom requirements. Clinical guidance on indications for testing also evolved and, as of February 22, all initial laboratory testing was conducted at Public Health Ontario^{Footnote 5Footnote 7}. Over this time period, both positive and negative test results for SARS-CoV-2 were being reported to the local Medical Officer of Health.

We examined COVID-19 records reported in iPHIS between January 22 and February 22, 2020. We excluded those meeting the confirmed, presumptive confirmed or probable provincial case definition. These records included persons meeting the provincial case definition of a PUI at the time of report, persons with whom the local public health unit was following-up and persons for whom testing for COVID-19 had been performed and reported to the local public health unit (n=466). Records without laboratory data in IPHIS were excluded from the analyses, leaving 359 records in our dataset. We evaluated the exposures, characteristics, symptoms and time between symptom onset and testing of these individuals. Exposures were assigned in a hierarchy of travel to China, travel outside of China and exposure in Ontario. All analyses were conducted using SAS Enterprise Guide v.7.1 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, North Carolina).

The number of individuals with a negative test result peaked in mid-February with 29 individuals reported on February 10, 2020 (Figure 1). Travel to China was reported by the greatest number of patients (n=196, 54.6%) throughout the study period. After February 2, 2020, 32 patients reported travel outside of China.

Just over half (51.8%) of these patients were female. The majority (71.3%) of the patients were younger than 50 years of age. The greatest number of the patients tested (n=97, 27.0%) were between the ages of 20 and 29 years. Among those younger than 10 years of age, 70.5% were male (Table 2). The most commonly reported symptoms among those with symptom data recorded (n=314) were cough, fever and sore throat (Table 3).

Among patients with specimen collection date within 30 days of symptom onset (n=291/359, 81.1%), 177 (60.8%) and 210 (72.2%) were sampled within three and seven days of symptom onset, respectively. However, 81 (27.8%) were sampled at least seven days after symptom onset and 23 (7.9%) were collected between 14 and 30 days after symptom onset (Figure 2).

Discussion

In the first month after reportability of COVID-19, there were 359 individuals with negative COVID-19 testing results recorded by public health units in the provincial surveillance system. In comparison, the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported across the country as of February 23^{Footnote 8}. By February 22, there were only three confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Ontario and all three of these cases had recently travelled to Wuhan, China.

The vast majority of those tested had a travel history to China, as expected, given the initial focus of exportation risk that was centered in Wuhan, China, and the exposure criteria of the PUI case definition. Travel bans were imposed by the city of Wuhan as of January 23, and these bans were extended progressively into other areas in China at the start of Lunar New Year (January 25, 2020) celebrations to slow the spread of the virus to other regions^{Footnote 9}. Subsequently, beginning in early February, an increasing proportion of individuals in our analysis reported travel outside of China. By February 1, 2020, there were 7,153 cases in Hubei Province, 11,821 cases in China overall and 132 cases in 23 countries outside of China^{Footnote 10}. As of February 26, the case definition had been changed to include additional affected areas, which had further broadened the range of travel exposures reported (data not shown).

In our analysis, the demographics of persons testing negative in Ontario were younger compared with the age distribution of confirmed cases reported in China^{Footnote 11}. However, the age groups for those tested in Ontario were similar to those for PUIs assessed in the United States^{Footnote 12}. The age structure of PUIs in Ontario may be reflective of younger families and working age adults who had recently arrived from China or who had returned from visiting China, compared with elderly adults who may have been less likely to travel. Information on demographics of all returning travellers from China in this time period would be needed to assess this hypothesis.

As expected from the case definition, most cases reported cough or fever, similar to reports of PUIs and cases in other jurisdictions where these are the two most common symptoms^{Footnote 12Footnote 13}. The third most common symptom amongst persons testing negative in Ontario was sore throat, with 34.7% of those with symptoms data reporting this symptom. In comparison, only 13.9% of 55,924 laboratory-confirmed cases in China reported a sore throat^{Footnote 13}. Over the months of January and February, common seasonal respiratory viruses were circulating in the community, which may account for the higher prevalence of sore throat and may provide an alternative diagnoses of these individuals^{Footnote 14Footnote 15}. Despite lack of inclusion of gastrointestinal symptoms in the case definition, 6.4% of the individuals in our analysis reported diarrhea. Gastrointestinal symptoms were also reported in a minority of patients with COVID-19 in China^{Footnote 13Footnote 16Footnote 17Footnote 18Footnote 19}.

There appears to be heightened awareness of the necessity for early assessment and testing as the majority of the persons in this study group presented for testing within three days of symptom onset. However, approximately one-quarter of persons tested waited for more than seven days prior to testing. With only three confirmed cases in this time period, we cannot reasonably compare symptom to testing behaviours of those who became positive. However, testing delays have implications for public health follow-up. Late testing may have missed detection of SARS-CoV-2 if individuals were already resolving their infection by the time testing occurred. Delays may be due to mild presentation of illness or heightened concern after symptom onset with increasing global awareness in this time period. This has implications for public health follow-up should these individuals eventually test positive, as there have been reports of transmissions from individuals in the presymptomatic phase of illness^{Footnote 20Footnote 21}.

With the changing global awareness of COVID-19, reevaluation of the delay from symptom onset to testing over time could inform evaluations of the effectiveness of public health messaging to immediately self-isolate and seek care/testing when symptoms start.

There are several limitations in our findings, which are inherent to public health surveillance data. Firstly, there are incomplete data in iPHIS on persons tested in the province due to individuals not being reported to local public health units, selective entry of individuals tested and incomplete entry of laboratory results into iPHIS. There may also be incomplete capture of symptoms and travel history depending on whether these were collected from the provider or the patient. Finally, there may be differential recall of symptoms and symptom onset among cases with a long time from symptom onset to testing.

Conclusion

Our surveillance findings demonstrate there was substantial testing of individuals identified in the first month after reportability in Ontario compared with other jurisdictions, as well as shifting epidemiology towards non-China travel exposures over time. Further assessment is needed on the relative importance of sore throat as a common symptom of persons tested, when sore throat has been less frequently described among cases in China. As well, further assessment is needed on reasons for extensive delays in testing from symptom onset among some individuals, as these delays may have significant implications for public health follow-up.

Authors’ statement

MW and AS analyzed the data. KH oversaw the project. JG provided review of the data. MM and SB drafted the manuscript. All co-authors provided input on the final manuscript.

Conflict of interest

All authors have completed and submitted the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors (ICMJE) form for disclosure of potential conflicts of interest. No potential conflicts of interest were disclosed.

Acknowledgements

S Menon, Public Health Ontario, for formatting of manuscript.

Funding

This work was supported by Public Health Ontario.