Economic profile: Seine River region, Manitoba

Overview

The Seine River region^{Footnote 1} has a population of 27,116, consisting of 12% seniors (65 and older), 63% working-age adults (15 to 64) and 25% children (under 15).

The key sectors of the economy in the Seine River region, which account for 38% of the jobs in the region, are

• construction
• health care and social assistance
• retail trade

There are 13,125 employed residents, of which 15% are immigrants.^{Footnote 2}

The economy generates a total of $1.4 billion in household and business incomes, which amounts to $52,952 per resident.

General age structure – 2021

Sustainability

In order to support local services such as health care and social programs and maintain a good standard of living for everyone in the region, it is essential to have more working-age adults than seniors. The Seine River region has more working-age adults than seniors compared to the average in Manitoba.

From 2011 to 2021, the Seine River region experienced

• a 24% increase in population, compared to an 11% increase in the province
• a 38% increase in the population’s proportion of seniors, compared to a 20% increase in the province
• a 4.2% decrease in the population’s proportion of working-age adults, compared to a 3.8% decrease in the province

Population structure – Changes from 2011 to 2021

By 2031, without immigration,^{Footnote 3} the region could experience^{Footnote 4}

• a 4.6% increase in population
• a 1% increase in the population’s proportion of working-age adults
• a further increase in the population’s proportion of seniors by 48%, potentially changing the demand for local services, including health care and long-term care

No immigration – Possible changes from 2021 to 2031

Prosperity

The region relies heavily on working-age adults to keep local services running smoothly and to maintain a good standard of living and economic growth. Immigrants can help by filling job gaps and bringing new skills and ideas, which keeps the local economy strong.

From 2011 to 2021, the Seine River region experienced

• a 19% increase in workforce^{Footnote 5} size, compared to a 7% increase in the province
• a 32% increase in the number of immigrant workers, compared to a 46% increase in the province
• a total of 1,368 retirements,^{Footnote 6} which amounts to 9.7% of the 2021 workforce, compared to 17% in the province
• a change in the average income per resident from local jobs relative to the province, which is 1.1% lower than the average in Manitoba in 2021

Economic changes from 2011 to 2021

By 2031, without immigration,^{Footnote 8} the region could experience^{Footnote 9}

• a 24% decrease in workforce size
• a 23% decrease in the number of jobs
• an increase in the proportion of seniors in the population from 12% to 18%

No immigration – Possible changes from 2021 to 2031

Supporting the community’s French-speaking population

Francophone immigration outside Quebec plays an important role in enhancing the vitality and economic development of Francophone minority communities across the country.

The Seine River region is part of the Welcoming Francophone Communities initiative launched by Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada. This initiative supports the economic and socio-cultural integration of French-speaking newcomers.

In total, 24% of the Seine River region’s population speaks French, with 13% speaking French as a first language and 11% as a second language.

---